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Crown Green Handicap

Phil Lee

Top 10%
Team: St.Mary's ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1184

Current Handicap

-5
Honours
Season:

84

Matches Played

69

Wins

15

Losses

82%

Win Rate

10.6

Avg Win Margin

4.3

Avg Loss Margin

40-4

Home Record

29-11

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
54 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 54 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

50 Wins

69 wins

75% Club

82%

Next goal: Hot Streak 1513/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2026
10-Game Streak11 in a row
Home Dominance9/9 home
2025
10-Game Streak11 in a row
2024
90% Season94%
10-Game Streak13 in a row
Home Dominance9/9 home
2023
90% Season93%
10-Game Streak12 in a row
Home Dominance9/9 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 84 matches

-5 Improving
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 Apr23 Aug18 Jul7 May6 Aug3 Jun19 Aug9 Jun1 Sept-7-317

Gives 5 fewer chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest-6
Current-5
Win Percentage(40%)
83%
score+0.67→contribution+0.27
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
11.0
score+0.50→contribution+0.13
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
4.7
score+0.56→contribution+0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
85%
score+0.70→contribution+0.07
Opponent Strength(10%)
999
score+0.66→contribution+0.07
Weighted Score+0.612
Sample Size Confidence
100%(54/41 matches)
Rating1184 → shrunk 1184
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)1184
Recency Blend40% (54 recent matches)
Final Rating1184
Handicap
-5

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

69W15L84 matches·82.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
St Mary's (Billinge) A2022–2025Division 165531281.5%
St.Mary's A2026Division 11916384.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Brian HoughA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
8/25/2026Keith MacklinH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/18/2026David MorrisH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
8/11/2026Craig LoweA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
8/4/2026James WilliamsH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Mark BeddowsA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2026Kevin MoranH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
7/14/2026Chris AshtonA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026Ste EvansH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 1
6/30/2026Graham BrandA21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Jason FinneyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
5/26/2026John MorganA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/19/2026Mark BeddowsH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/12/2026Kevin MoranA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
5/5/2026Craig TaylorH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2026Andy HayesA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
4/21/2026Craig BrandH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
4/14/2026Steve JohnsonA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
4/7/2026B WhalleyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/26/2025M JonesH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
8/19/2025Michael HeapsH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
8/12/2025Ray CharnockA21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2025John MorganH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/29/2025Austin DavisA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/22/2025Paul GartsideH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
7/15/2025George CurranA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
7/8/2025Roland GaskellH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 1
7/1/2025John DuncanA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
6/24/2025David FryerH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
6/10/2025Danny MillerA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
6/3/2025Mark HoldenH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 1
5/27/2025Eddie HarrisonA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2025Matthew CorlessH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
5/14/2025Andy PearceA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
5/6/2025Liam McEganH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
4/29/2025Robert AngusA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
4/22/2025Ian PalmerH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 1
4/15/2025David FryerA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
8/27/2024Andy HayesH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/13/2024Billy SpeedA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/6/2024Eddie WebsterH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 1
7/30/2024Mark HoldenA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
7/23/2024Mike MullenH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/16/2024Ben WinstanleyH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
7/9/2024Tex AllenH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 1
6/25/2024Roland GaskellH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 1
6/4/2024Ronnie BelshawH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/28/2024Eddie WebsterA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
5/21/2024Steve JohnsonH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
5/15/2024Keith MacklinA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/7/2024P MooreA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 1
4/30/2024George CurranA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
4/23/2024D TabernerH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
4/16/2024John DanielsA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
8/29/2023Mark SweetH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
8/22/2023Dean MidgleyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/15/2023Karl HoldenA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
8/8/2023Ed WebsterH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 1
8/1/2023Chris TarbuckA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
7/25/2023Liam McEganH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
7/18/2023P CleggA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
7/11/2023John ToppingH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
7/4/2023Jimmy RobyA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
6/27/2023Geoff LambertH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
5/23/2023Chris TarbuckH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 1
5/16/2023Chris AshtonA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2023Stuart HodsonH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
4/25/2023Keith MacklinH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
4/18/2023Liam GregsonA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
9/6/2022G OliverA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/30/2022Steve JohnsonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
8/23/2022Alan CarrH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
8/16/2022B WhalleyA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
8/9/2022Tex AllenH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
8/3/2022Alan HeatonA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
7/19/2022Michael HeapsA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
6/14/2022Paul KellyA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
5/31/2022Liam McEganA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
5/24/2022Freddie LaffH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
5/10/2022Harvey BirchH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
5/3/2022John LesterA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
4/26/2022John HallH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 1
4/19/2022Brian FeltonA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
4/12/2022Brian YoungH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

13

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWLW
Last 1070% win rate↑ improving
WWWLWLWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Keith Macklin303100%8/25/2026
Steve Johnson21366.7%4/14/2026
Liam McEgan303100%5/6/2025
Mark Beddows11250%7/28/2026
Kevin Moran202100%7/21/2026
Chris Ashton11250%7/14/2026
John Morgan202100%5/26/2026
Andy Hayes202100%4/28/2026
B Whalley202100%4/7/2026
Michael Heaps11250%8/19/2025
Biggest Win
Ray Charnock (+19)8/12/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Gartside (-11)7/22/2025
Favourite Victim
Keith Macklin3-0 H2H
Best Season
202494% · 16 matches
Worst Season
202267% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
83% → 81%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
99084 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
39-981% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
30-683% win rate
Division 182.1%
69W·15L·84 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.8 (84 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026